Our Latest Emmys Forecast: An Updated Look At The Sure Things And Longshots As Voting Begins

Emmy voters are about to start putting pen to paper... and we have a pretty good idea what names they'll be writing down when they do.

Voting in the nomination round of the 2025 Emmys begins next week, so we here at TVLine thought it'd be a good time to take another look at how the Emmys race is shaping up this year. They May 31 submission deadline has come and gone, so all eligible shows have already hit the airwaves, and we know several returning favorites are bound to be in the mix again, like Apple TV+'s Severance and Hulu's The Bear. But a number of freshman shows are poised to make their Emmy debuts as well, like Netflix's Nobody Wants This and Max's The Pitt. And just in the past couple of months, a few surprise contenders — like Netflix's Adolescence — have shot all the way up to frontrunner status.

Here, we're giving you an updated look ahead at which shows and actors might be snagging Emmy nominations this year, identifying the sure things, the dark horses... and the big names that may have fallen out of contention. We're breaking it all down below in the three major Emmy classifications: Comedy, Drama and Limited Series. And to be clear, these predictions aren't foolproof — but we're betting a lot of the names listed here will end up being read aloud when Emmy nominations are announced on July 15.

Read on to get our latest take on who's leading the charge for the 2025 Emmys, and then give us your take in the comments. Who do you think will snag nominations? And who do you think should be nominated this year?

Max's Hacks is the reigning champ in the best comedy series category, and it'll put up a strong title defense this year, too, with stars Jean Smart and Hannah Einbinder likely to score acting nods. Hulu's The Bear has won big the past couple years as well, and Jeremy Allen White and Ayo Edebiri are poised to be back in the acting mix — but Emmy voters may ding the show for a lackluster third season. Those two will face a strong challenge from a fresh face, though: Apple TV+'s Hollywood satire The Studio, which has a ton of support within the showbiz community (i.e., Emmy voters) and could surprise with a slew of nominations, including acting nods for Seth Rogen, Catherine O'Hara and Ike Barinholtz.

We're guessing that veterans Abbott Elementary and Only Murders in the Building will both make the cut for best comedy series, but any major wins for those two seem unlikely, with voters being swayed by shiny new things. One of those shiny new things: Netflix's mismatched rom-com Nobody Wants This, with Kristen Bell and Adam Brody both good bets for recognition in the lead acting categories. There's real momentum behind Apple TV+'s Shrinking as well to land its first comedy series nod for Season 2, with Jason Segel and Harrison Ford in heavy contention for acting nominations.

Outside of that, a few freshman comedies — Netflix's The Four Seasons and A Man on the Inside; Disney+'s Agatha All Along — could surprise and wedge their way into the fight for major nods. On the other hand, Peacock's Poker Face is lacking buzz in its current season, which might cost Natasha Lyonne a repeat acting nod, and Prime Video's (now cancelled) ballet dramedy Étoile (from Mrs. Maisel creator Amy Sherman-Palladino) stumbled a bit on opening night and looks to be well behind the pack.

We want to throw one more (very weird) name into the mix as well: HBO's The Rehearsal. Is Nathan Fielder's bizarre social experiment even a comedy? We're not sure, but we know we've never seen anything like it, and the sheer boldness of Fielder's vision might make it a shocking spoiler.

We were blown away by the audacious sophomore run of Apple TV+'s sci-fi stunner Severance, and we're thinking Emmy voters will be, too. (The show only won two Emmys for Season 1, but that number is sure to go way up this year.) It's not a lock to win the Emmy for best drama series, though, with Max's new hospital drama The Pitt making a strong push and conjuring up memories of beloved Emmy winner ER. Noah Wyle is sure to battle it out with Severance's Adam Scott for the lead actor Emmy — and might just win it.

HBO's The White Lotus earned plenty of buzz for its outrageous third season (Piper, no!), and it's poised to dominate the Emmys' supporting actor and actress categories, with multiple cast members gobbling up slots. That leaves the lead acting categories free for the likes of Matlock's Kathy Bates (a broadcast nominee, can you believe it?!), Slow Horses' Gary Oldman and The Handmaid's Tale's Elisabeth Moss for a resurgent final season. Netflix's The Diplomat was even better in Season 2, too, so it could crash the drama series party, along with nods for Keri Russell and new addition Allison Janney.

Then there's HBO's zombie thriller The Last of Us, which landed a whopping 24 Emmy nominations for Season 1. This year's sophomore run received a more mixed reaction from fans, though, so while it should land nods for Bella Ramsey and Pedro Pascal, it might not be any closer to taking home Emmy gold. Newcomers like Hulu's Paradise, Peacock's The Day of the Jackal and Apple TV+'s Your Friends & Neighbors could grab acting nominations for their high-wattage stars, but aren't likely to dent the drama series field — and big names like Netflix's Squid Game, HBO's House of the Dragon and Prime Video's The Boys might be on the outside looking in altogether. (Plus, a late entry from Netflix, the Scottish crime thriller Dept. Q, could play spoiler and sneak into the race.)

One show we're thinking (and hoping) will get in, though: Andor, Disney+'s spectacular Star Wars offshoot, which outdid itself with an incredible second and final season this spring. Season 1 pulled in eight nominations, including one for best drama series, and we could see Season 2 doing even better, breaking into the acting categories as well with names like Diego Luna, Genevieve O'Reilly and Stellan Skarsgard making the cut. Fingers crossed that the Force is with them.

A few months ago, this appeared to be a done deal, with HBO's The Penguin poised to sweep the major limited series categories with nods for stars Colin Farrell and Cristin Milioti. But then a funny thing happened: An unheralded show from the UK, Adolescence, debuted on Netflix and became a sensation like Baby Reindeer did last year, rocketing to the top of the streaming charts and earning raves for its immersive one-take cinematography and top-notch acting. Now it'll be duking it out with The Penguin for best limited series and could win it, along with acting nominations for Stephen Graham, Erin Doherty and teen breakout Owen Cooper.

Beyond those two, though, the limited series field is a bit murky. Apple TV+'s glossy legal drama Presumed Innocent seems like prime Emmy fodder, but it might have to be content with a lead acting nomination for star Jake Gyllenhaal, if that. FX's Dying for Sex boasts an Oscar nominee in Michelle Williams, which should be good for a few nods. And speaking of Oscars, Apple TV+'s twisty psychological drama Disclaimer could ride Oscar winners Cate Blanchett and Kevin Kline to a healthy haul of nominations — but the buzz never really got started with this one.

A couple of Netflix anthologies — Monsters: The Lyle and Erik Menendez Story and Black Mirror — could take advantage of the thin field to snag acting nods for Javier Bardem and Paul Giamatti, and Apple TV+'s gritty crime drama Dope Thief is a stealth contender here, with Brian Tyree Henry (a previous nominee for Atlanta) making a late push for lead actor. One name we might not hear at all, though: Mountainhead, the HBO movie from Succession creator Jesse Armstrong that attracted a starry cast led by Steve Carell... and then earned decidedly mixed reviews. This sounded like a sure-fire contender before it debuted, but now? It might want to take a long ski weekend when the Emmys roll around.

That's our latest read of the race — but what's yours? Hit your comments to give us your Emmys predictions.